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You can use either metric to predict the romantic evaluation outcome.For the level metric, the answer is consistently “no”. Too many marketing reports, metrics and plans, too much market intelligence, research and survey data? This is the prescription of Blink, the popular psychology bestseller from Malcolm Gladwell, staff writer for The New Yorker and author of the cult business book The Tipping Point. Thin-slicing is a neat cognitive trick that involves taking a narrow slice of data, just what you can capture in the blink of an eye, and letting your intuition do the work for you.There’s a freely-available thin-slicing research tool at Harvard called the IAT (implicit association test) that measures consumer attitudes and feedback by getting them to thin-slice word and image combinations (overview below).Rather than ask for explicit feedback as you would in a survey (subject to a whole host of research biases such as self-censure and social-desirability biases), the IAT measures feedback implicitly and directly through the time it takes for consumers to complete thin-slicing tasks (researcher resources).Our conscious mind is the tip of the cognitive iceberg, and what we feel as intuition is really the result of unconscious rapid cognition, fast and frugal information processing that goes on subliminally.Thin-slicing harnesses this powerful adaptive unconsciousness, allowing us to make smart decisions based on minimal information and minimal deliberation.

Of course, our responses reflect our views on the state of the field at this moment in time; they will be updated as new data become available.

When we test the predictive validity of ideals, we are asking the question: Does the extent to which a partner matches my ideals predict how positively I evaluate him/her?

That is, does the extent of matching between (A) the participant’s ideals (e.g., desiring extraversion in a partner) and (B) the partner’s traits (e.g., the partner’s level of extraversion) predict (C) the participant’s evaluation of the partner (e.g., how much the participant loves the partner)?

Or consult the retired soldier whose thin-slicing intuition can outwit the supercomputers of the US Armed Forces.

The great thing about thin-slicing, argues Gladwell, is that we can all do it, especially when it comes to thin-slicing each other.




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